Abstract

This study examines the strategic transformations in the Middle East after the Iranian-American war and their implications for the regional order. It focuses on the redistribution of power among the United States, Iran, Israel, the Gulf states, and other regional actors. The study analyzes the impact of the war on regional alliances and security arrangements, particularly the Gulf states’ efforts to diversify their security partnerships. It also examines changes in the concept of deterrence resulting from the growing importance of missiles, drones, cyber warfare, and asymmetric capabilities. Special attention is given to the security of the Gulf, the Strait of Hormuz, and strategic maritime routes as central elements of regional and international security. The study further assesses the effects of maritime disruption on energy security, global trade, supply chains, and economic costs. Methodologically, the research employs descriptive-analytical analysis, systems analysis, case study, comparative analysis, and a prospective approach. The findings indicate that the war intensified regional and international competition and increased the strategic importance of geography and maritime capabilities. The study also highlights the growing need for multilateral security arrangements involving international and regional actors to protect navigation and contain escalation. It concludes that the future regional order will depend on the ability of key actors to transform the war’s outcomes into sustainable arrangements that may produce a more pluralistic order or reproduce earlier patterns of conflict.